A few more weeks...
They certainly do not like Bush, these Californians - and they don't hide it, either. I was actually considering picking up a rather graphic "Good Bush - bad Bush" T-Shirt, but I have a reputation and my site's rating to watch ... ;-)
Here is a more substantiated Wall Street Journal analysis of the putative situation in the US electoral college - rather encouraging, actually! But it stands in contrast with the current price of the Bush future which is at about 68 on Intrade. A price above 50 suggests that market participants expect that Bush will win the elections.